Wednesday, 02 November 2016 00:28

500 million VR and wearables using motion and gesture by 2021

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The idea of real "Minority Report" interfaces is cool, but Juniper Research says they’ll need "major reinvention to go mainstream".

A new study from the gurus at Juniper Research has found that "gesture and motion control will become vital for certain forms of human-computer interaction in the coming years".

Unsurprisingly, they tell us that "the use of the technology in smartphone-based VR (virtual reality) will be particularly important in driving up usage".

Indeed, Juniper forecasts "128 million devices by the end of 2016, rising to 492 million by 2020 – a growth of more than 280%".

Wearables and VR to Lead

Juniper’s new research, entitled ‘Gesture, Motion & Haptics: Future Use Cases, Shipments & Revenue Forecasts 2016-2021,’ which is on sale to relevant parties at relevant prices, found that "great progress has been made in the development of gesture and motion interfaces, from companies such as Leap Motion and Thalmic Labs".

Juniper says it expects "nearly 50% of all wearables and almost all VR to use the technology by 2021. However, for more established platforms like PCs and smartphones, Juniper believes that usage will remain low, with less than 5% of such devices using gesture control by that time".

Thus, we are told that "the arrival of motion control for smartphone VR in 2017 will start a shift towards multimodal computing, using both peripherals and motion and gesture control".

However, says Juniper, "at the moment this will simply extend current functionalities, holding back adoption across devices as a whole, unless the UI (user interface) paradigm changes:.

Integrated, not integral

"Gesture and motion control is currently an add-on for most devices, despite many smartphones and tablets having sensors which can enable the technology."

Research author James Moar remarked: “VR and wearables have shown the way that gesture and haptics can provide fresh ways to interact with technology.

“The game changer for other platforms will be when technology firms are brave enough to reinvent their UIs to incorporate gesture and motion control, rather than considering it an optional add-on.”

As per usual, there’s a free whitepaper entitled, ‘Gesture & Motion Control ~ The Wave of the Future’, which is available to download from the Juniper website together with further details of the complete research.

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Alex Zaharov-Reutt

Alex Zaharov-Reutt is iTWire's Technology Editor is one of Australia’s best-known technology journalists and consumer tech experts, Alex has appeared in his capacity as technology expert on all of Australia’s free-to-air and pay TV networks on all the major news and current affairs programs, on commercial and public radio, and technology, lifestyle and reality TV shows. Visit Alex at Twitter here.

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