What Sundar Pichai, the head of Alphabet, Google's parent company, held out was very attractive: US$1 billion (A$1.39 billion). And he mentioned that only 200 companies from six countries had been signed up, though Australia, one of the six, would not be invited in unless it sorted out things peacefully with ANZ managing director Melanie Silva.
Simple division will tell anyone that if the scheme is limited to those numbers, then it is a windfall: US$5 million apiece. But then Pichai did not offer the context that there are a few more than six countries on the face of the planet. He only mentioned three more: India, Belgium and the Netherlands.
Nor did he mention that the same scheme would be extended to other language markets. And those are far more lucrative than the English news market. The newspaper with the highest circulation in Asia is Japanese: the Asahi Shimbun. The newspaper with the second highest circulation in Asia is Indian: the Malayala Manorama.
How far will Google take this so-called Google News Showcase? The company earned profits of US$31.53 billion for the year ending June 2020; revenue in 2019 was US$134.81 billion. Thus, doling out a few more billions to avoid stoushes like the one going on in Australia will not prevent Pichai from receiving the handsome bonuses he gets each year.
But for Australia to get a seat at the table, Silva's list of demands has to be met. As the ACCC has it now, Google and publishers will get three months to cut deals or else will have to agree to a decision taken by a middleman, with one side's offer prevailing.
As ACCC chair Rod Sims has put it: "There will be changes, but the core of the code can't change. You need an arbitration mechanism, you need a non-discrimination clause. They are ... the glue that holds the code together, that makes it workable."
Google is reluctant to answer queries about whether it will leave Australia if Silva is snubbed. I've asked about this twice, but got evasive replies. Facebook came right out and threatened to leave, but Google does not want to do that.
Whatever changes take place, we will know the outcome in a few short weeks.