Helena Ferreira, a research analyst with IDC Western Europe Personal Computing Devices, said: "Intel CPU shortages, as well as supply chain concerns stemming from the coronavirus outbreak, will impact the Western European PC market in 1H20.
"Notebooks will be particularly vulnerable to the supply constraints due to the high concentration of manufacturing that occurs in the affected areas of mainland China."
However strong inventory levels and prioritisation of Windows 10 transition deals would ensure that demand in the public and SMB spaces would be met during the first half of the year, IDC said.
Though notebooks, especially the thinner and lighter ones, had gained market share, the conditions in some places would limit growth to about 1% year-on-year in both the first and second quarters of 2020.
Dealers in both Central and Eastern Europe and the Middle East and Africa had not lowered their expectations by much for the first half of 2020, despite the continuing spread of the coronavirus, IDC said.
Supply shortages could lead to higher prices with the overall CEE forecast expected to stay steady in the first quarter, while the full-year figure would be down by 2.7% year-on-year.
"The commercial space is expected to remain relatively strong in the first half of 2020 thanks to a few large deals in the public sector, but the consumer space will remain inhibited by a lack of demand, longer PC life cycles, and a lack of inventories at the end of 2019 in key countries," said Nikolina Jurisic, program manager, CEMA.
"For MEA the overall PC market is expected to decline by 0.7% in 1Q20, with the year ending at -1.1% year-on-year, as not even the commercial segment will be able to absorb the weak consumer demand."